2026 Week 2 result
What was published before kickoff, beside what actually happened. These numbers were frozen at 2026-09-15 09:03 and have not been recomputed since.
Graded
16
of 16 games
Winner picked
56%
market 69%
Margin MAE
12.57
market 11.94
ATS
8-8 · 50.0%
52.4% breaks even
Game by game
| Date | Matchup | Projected | Final | Pick | Close | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 |  DET at  BUF |
24.8–25.8 | 31–41 | BUF HIT | +4.5 | LOSS |
| 09-20 |  CAR at  ATL |
18.1–24.7 | 34–3 | ATL MISS | -1.5 | LOSS |
| 09-20 |  CIN at  HOU |
19.6–27.1 | 20–6 | HOU MISS | +3.0 | LOSS |
| 09-20 |  CLE at  TB |
17.5–23.5 | 23–19 | TB MISS | +8.5 | WIN |
| 09-20 |  GB at  NYJ |
26.7–18.4 | 20–17 | GB HIT | -4.5 | LOSS |
| 09-20 |  IND at  KC |
20.3–24.1 | 30–33 | KC HIT | +6.5 | WIN |
| 09-20 |  JAX at  DEN |
22.4–21.9 | 13–20 | JAX MISS | +2.5 | LOSS |
| 09-20 |  LV at  LAC |
18.1–24.4 | 26–14 | LAC MISS | +7.0 | WIN |
| 09-20 |  MIA at  SF |
19.6–25.9 | 13–35 | SF HIT | +13.5 | LOSS |
| 09-20 |  MIN at  CHI |
21.4–23.6 | 9–3 | CHI MISS | +5.5 | WIN |
| 09-20 |  NO at  BAL |
19.6–23.5 | 24–17 | BAL MISS | +8.5 | WIN |
| 09-20 |  PHI at  TEN |
25.3–17.1 | 24–20 | PHI HIT | -7.0 | LOSS |
| 09-20 |  PIT at  NE |
17.4–25.2 | 3–20 | NE HIT | +5.5 | WIN |
| 09-20 |  SEA at  ARI |
26.1–18.6 | 31–7 | SEA HIT | -4.5 | WIN |
| 09-20 |  WAS at  DAL |
21.2–27.3 | 20–37 | DAL HIT | +3.5 | WIN |
| 09-21 |  NYG at  LA |
22.4–28.9 | 6–28 | LA HIT | +7.0 | LOSS |
Model output, not advice. These are simulated distributions from a statistical model, published to record how it performs. Nothing here is a betting recommendation. Lines shown are the closing numbers carried in the underlying data and may differ from any book. 21+; if gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-522-4700.
Every Possible Sunday — built Oct 29, 2026. Play-by-play and lines from nflfastR via nfl_data_py. Team marks belong to their owners and are used here to identify clubs.