2026 Week 6 result

What was published before kickoff, beside what actually happened. These numbers were frozen at 2026-10-13 08:03 and have not been recomputed since.

Graded

of 14 games

Winner picked

43%

market 50%

Margin MAE

8.16

market 7.04

ATS

6-8 · 42.9%

52.4% breaks even

Game by game

Date	Matchup	Projected	Final	Pick	Close	ATS
10-15	SEA at DEN	21.9–19.7	14–17	SEA MISS	-2.5	WIN
10-18	ARI at LA	21.0–32.3	18–16	LA MISS	+13.5	WIN
10-18	BAL at CLE	25.3–17.6	10–13	BAL MISS	-4.5	LOSS
10-18	BUF at LV	25.9–20.2	33–30	BUF HIT	-6.0	WIN
10-18	CAR at PHI	19.4–22.1	25–14	PHI MISS	+1.5	LOSS
10-18	CHI at ATL	21.9–24.7	31–23	ATL MISS	-3.0	LOSS
10-18	DAL at GB	23.0–26.5	13–23	GB HIT	+1.5	WIN
10-18	HOU at JAX	19.3–26.1	34–31	JAX MISS	+3.0	LOSS
10-18	LAC at KC	17.5–24.4	6–22	KC HIT	+8.5	LOSS
10-18	NO at NYG	22.5–21.2	34–27	NO HIT	+1.5	WIN
10-18	NYJ at NE	16.3–27.0	19–26	NE HIT	+7.5	LOSS
10-18	PIT at TB	20.7–21.3	26–19	TB MISS	-3.0	LOSS
10-18	TEN at IND	18.4–24.8	26–20	IND MISS	+7.0	WIN
10-19	WAS at SF	18.3–27.2	17–23	SF HIT	+7.5	LOSS

Download the projections as published (CSV)

Model output, not advice. These are simulated distributions from a statistical model, published to record how it performs. Nothing here is a betting recommendation. Lines shown are the closing numbers carried in the underlying data and may differ from any book. 21+; if gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-522-4700.

Every Possible Sunday — built Oct 20, 2026. Play-by-play and lines from nflfastR via nfl_data_py. Team marks belong to their owners and are used here to identify clubs.